No Good Today

July 11th, 2006 | brainjuice

Editors and offices should not bug me today. Went to bed at 4am. Woken at 6 by postman. Woken at 8 by postman again. Woken at 10 by FedEx. Woken at 12 by DHL. Woken at 1.30 by some shit trying to sell me something. I am utterly wrecked now. The Red Bull, it does nothing. And some dick in the pub thought it’d be funny to close all the windows and turn the place into a sweatbox.

But it could be worse. I could be working at Warner Bros today. SUPERMAN RETURNS conservatively cost $250 million to make. Probably the same again to promote. It took $21M this weekend, eaten alive by PIRATES. The studio gets about half the box office takings. In America, WB’s cumulative slice of SR’s takings amount to around $50M.

As Fraction said to me Sat night, producer Jon Peters is probably sleeping with a gun in his mouth.

Is it conceivable that something that took fifty-odd million in its first weekend could be a flop? I
said of KING KONG that for that film’s budget, I could grow my own giant fucking monkey. $250 million puts you in spacelaunch-budget territory. For $250 million WB could’ve given Bryan Singer his own communications satellite and spent the change on a George Clooney movie. Or two Wes Anderson movies. It’s an astonishing volume of cash that, at this stage, they don’t have a prayer of making back worldwide or on DVD.

This is the absurdity of modern Hollywood; that taking more than the GNP of Luxembourg in a single weekend is not actually enough to put a movie in the black.

It’s no wonder that everyone I meet these days wants to work in TV.

And did you catch Sunday’s DEADWOOD?

32 Responses to “No Good Today”

  1. That was Dan Dorrity’s finest hour.

  2. i hope you rest. We’ve all felt that way more than we care to remember. The worst mood to be in a tired + FUCKING CRANKY

  3. Superman Returns was budgeted at $180 million and ran over, to $208 million. Whether it “cost” more than that, pre-marketing, depends on whether you want to fold in the 15 years of aborted Super-movies Peters oversaw, including the infamous Tim Burton-Nick Cage disaster that saw those two getting paid even though WB shut the project down. Batman Begins was also seen as a big box office disappointment, and a sequel to that is all but greenlit for summer 2008.

    I read that Pirates 2&3 were filmed together at a budget of $450 million. Obviously, there’s a huge box office benefit to being pretty much the only movie from a particular genre in years and years. Put another way, there’s a new comic book superhero movie blockbuster out every summer now, but there’s only one pirate theme park ride franchise. So far.

    On a different subject, I heard a radio interview with Robert Duvall promoting his work in AMC’s first original movie production, a western called “Broken Trail”, and he mentioned in passing that he thought “Deadwood” was awful. He basically said it was what happened when what he saw as east coast elitists pretend to be cowboys.

  4. Duvall also thinks there’s only one god.

  5. There is noting beter to see on a Sunday than a man having his eye ripped out and beaten with log.

    That’s just good TV.

  6. Red Bull used to be liquid crack for me but then about 2 years ago it just stopped working for me. No more effect at all. I’m back on megadoses of coffee. Give that a shot.

  7. I watched “Superman 2″ this weekend. Hollywood needs to learn that a wes anderson movie is a better bet than a $250 million blockbuster. Less money spent (or the same) but more movies and maybe more variety and more options to make the money back with less risk.

  8. “Obviously, there’s a huge box office benefit to being pretty much the only movie from a particular genre in years and years.”

    Biggest opening of all time. Cinematical.com put it like this: It beat Spider-Man. It beat Star Wars. It beat Superman. It beat Jesus.

  9. Again, it’s the quiet moments in Deadwood that get me. The Dority/Turner fight was just wonderful in it’s brutality. But I also loved the moment where Hearst introduced himself to the Bella Union bartender and felt the need to connect to him. He just needed to stop scheming for a moment and act like a human. Then Tolliver and Bullock show up.

    “The sheriff has limited our options.” Masterful dialogue. Best show on television right now.

  10. I was going off of the top of my head. The last quote should’ve read “The sheriff has eliminated several of our options.” Apologies. Still…

  11. Are those worldwide, or American domestic figures? Of course with staggered release dates, I guess there isn’t much difference at this early in the game.

    I once read an interesting article about how the cost gets that high–generally having to do with a misunderstanding on the part of the filmmakers on how effects processes work and the timeline necessary for strong effects work (trying to rush or change effects at the last minute). Many producers understanding of the technology is similar to Senator Ted Steven’s understanding of the internet. We live in the post Titanic world–it’s hard to believe that an effects film like Return of the Jedi cost somewhere around 3o million dollars to make…

    Then add in the fixes for things like having color grading and effects out of sync, because two different post houses worked on them and didn’t communicate with each other. Or focus group driven changes to the story meaning reshoots and new effects. And of course, ridiculous salaries…

    Robert Rodriguez has made effects in his films for cheap because he does his own effects work in house, and then farms the rendering out to other effects houses.

    I saw a 1999 webpage that had the figures adjusted for inflation, indicating that Gone with the Wind cost the equivalent of about 50 million in today’s dollars and had grossed the equivalent of 2.3 billion (not including the 1998 rerelease) worldwide. Of course with salaries, effects production and other complications I imagine the film would cost a lot more than that now.

    With this one already obnoxiously succesfull, I’m curious to see if the third Pirates will “Matrix-out” or not.

    As regards flying superheroes, last I heard Shinya Tsukamoto still wants to make “Tetsuo U.S.A.” How much will it cost to make metal devourer Tetsuo fly, I wonder?

    Hope you feel better.

  12. dan dorrity is the baddest man on the planet, any time period.

  13. Oh, they’ll get it back eventually, they just won’t have it in their hot little hands on time for the coke party this weekend.

  14. Aw man, interrupted sleep is the worst. Especially when it means you’re getting your sleep in 2 hour bursts. My sympathies. I hope you get to bed early tonight.

    And Superman Returns could also be suffering from the fact that, once you get past the “gee whiz” action scenes, the numerous flaws become difficult to ignore.

  15. I worked graveyard for over a year, so I feel your pain. Leaving a note on the door that said “Sleeping, please don’t disturb me. Drop packages with neighbor.” didn’t work. Not once.

    Tried threats too. “Wake me up and I’ll claim I’m not home, and you’ll have to come back.” worked about half the time. Sometimes I’d get a new FedEx or UPS guy who’d ignore the note.

    Eventually I broke down and went to ear plugs.

  16. The Dan Dority/Captain fight was definitely a highlight and was a better fight than I could have hoped. Down and dirty and…what better image is there than an eyeball hanging from a mangled socket?

    I also got much enjoyment from seeing Hearst get led out of the Bella Union by his ear like a little kid. Wonderful. Major Dad is such a good villain.

    Also, the next time I get in a fight to the death I am going to give myself a pre-fight grease-down. That seems to be the way to go.

  17. $250 million? Hell, give me a map to Reeve’s grave and I’ll make you a decent movie for 250 quid plus expenses.

    It’ll mostly be filmed Candid Camera style with me dropping the corpse on Gene Hackman when he least expects it.

    That shit never gets old.

    ps The best bit in Deadwood was soapy breasts as communication devices - if they used that in Star Trek it’d still be on the air

  18. […] מאת udim, תחת הנושאים movies From the Bad Signal mailing list and here: But it could be worse. I could be working at Warner Bros today. SUPERMAN RETURNS conservatively cost $250 million to make. Probably the same again to promote. It took $21M this weekend, eaten alive by PIRATES. The studio gets about half the box office takings. In America, WB’s cumulative slice of SR’s takings amount to around $50M. […]

  19. I guess Alan Moore was on to something with Tales of the Black Freighter.

  20. Next week, Brian Cox kills a guy that exact same way, only he takes out both of the guy’s eyes, and then bludgeons the motherfucker with a side of mutton instead of a log, and then eats the mutton, and then does selections from RICHARD III (I, i and IV, iv).

  21. On the subject of caffeine, I saw a tshirt at Readercon this weekend that read:
    “It is by caffine alone I set my mind in motion. It is by the Beans of Java that the thoughts acquire speed, the hands acquire shakes, the shakes becomes a warning. It is by caffine alone I set my mind in motion.”

    So now I’m imagining a vast religious guild-war over the last crops of coffee beans.

  22. Maybe you could grow your own giant fucking monkey for that kind of money, but you can’t make it love you.

  23. My Mother used to spank my gaint Monkey
    Does that count?

  24. You know, a critic once described the first Tim Burton Batman movie as either a 6 or a 10 so she gave it an 8. Some movies no matter what you do aren’t going to have everything you need to recoup 250 million. Some people just need to share more. As for Deadwood, I agree. That is one of the best dialogue driven shows out there and I love Robert Duvall, but Jeez, it’s just a western. It has large hats, horses, guns and ‘purty’ women. Personally, every time I see Paula Malcolmson, I get all creamy inside. She is by far the coolest character in that show and what happen to that Hostelier character was so devastating, I couldn’t take my eyes off the screen. Lord, this is the best show on right now and I just know ABC is going to make people wait for Grey’s and Desparate Housewives to come up with better shows because that’s where all the advertising moneys being spent. I don’t know how much is being spent a minute but you know they’re going to charge a high amount. Nobody talks at all about that.

  25. $250,000,000 to make a movie. Investors can be found to sink that kind of cash into something that frivolous.

    I wonder what kind of operation (scam is an unkind word) it would take to shuffle the money around from a movie into something interesting and potentially profitable like a space station designed to manufacture stuff that can’t be made on earth and non-liquid-feuled rockets (Hi, nuclear power!) to get people there and back on a regular basis. If investors are willing to risk that kind of cash on a stupid movie, we’re almost duty-bound to put it to better use.

  26. Voyage to the Red Planet, Terry Bisson, 1990. First manned voyage to Mars, to make a stupid movie. Lovely novel.

  27. It’s all about creative accounting. Studios pay themselves over the odds for doing work on their own stuff so the money never leaves the system. A film that makes a loss is a tax write off.

    Does the $250 million include all the money that was spent on it as it lamguished in development hell?

  28. Do you ever notice that the more successful movies are, the more greedy studios get in making more of the same movies and by the end of it all, have so much trouble dispensing all the funds to everybody who believes “theyre” responsibile for it’s success. Pirates for example, is successful in my mind because Johnnie Depp took the most risks on a character the studio tried their best to control. Yet, how much money you think Depp will get? That 132 million plus is his way of saying Ah-Ha!, I’ll take all of that, that you. Yet, gee, we spent all that money on effects and overhead and Kiera Knightley’s hair so sorry, Johnny, we can only give you a paultry 5.19 on the dollar. Watch, after the third film, don’t be suprised if the director, producer and Orlando Bloom don’t ask for an audit, like Peter Jackson did at the end of the Rings trilogy.

  29. I find that these films that cost over $200 million dollars have some of the shittest special effects ever. Effect sequences so bad I can’t look. CG can look beautiful, but mostly it still looks like shit.

    Compare some of the CG sequences in Serenity to ones in big blockbusters like Kong. I didn’t once point out a crappy sequence in Serenity because I knew they worked to quite a tight budget. Whereas I was pointing problems out all the time in Kong. It gets out of hand in these Massive Budget Films.

    Anyway, I digress. Deadwood was fucking fantastic. Bullock looking like he is going to turn in to the Hulk, Al’s scheming. Dority and the Captain. Dority after the fight. Al talking to Johnny about the fight. Alma too. And being a Scot myself, it is good to see Brian Cox in there.

    Can’t wait for next week…

  30. Re: Deadwood - does anybody else think that Hearst got himself arrested on purpose, thereby forestalling retribution from Al? The whole scene with Alma and Ellsworth was priceless - that line about would it seem unmanly to faint. The shock when Hossfeffer killed himself rather than being thought of as a lying cheat. This show just keeps getting better - so why are HBO closing it down?

  31. […] Warren Ellis sums it up nicely here: SUPERMAN RETURNS conservatively cost $250 million to make. Probably the same again to promote. It took $21M this weekend, eaten alive by PIRATES. The studio gets about half the box office takings. In America, WB’s cumulative slice of SR’s takings amount to around $50M. […]

  32. I wanna a giant monkey too.A giant monkey trained to destroy Hollywood.

Miss Piggy?s Teaches of Peaches

Coilhouse - 20 Nov 09

Every time an issue of the magazine goes to print, things somehow turn Highly Inappropriate here at Coilhouse. This is apparent to anyone who was there on Twitter during the hours of our final revision deadline last night. And it’s only going to get worse before Issue 04’s out.So to celebrate, a video of Miss Piggy singing “Fuck the Pain Away” by Peaches. It’s that kind of day.

[via Shannon]


Post tags: Madness, Music, Puppetry

claytoncubitt: Will Blanche, ?The Newly Constructed Towers of...

Brian Wood - 20 Nov 09



claytoncubitt:

Will Blanche, ?The Newly Constructed Towers of the World Trade Center Seen From the South Side on West Street, May, 1973? (via These Americans)

See also:Mitch Epstein, ?West Side Highway, New York City? [looking towards World Trade Center] 1977

Percy Jackson trailer

Kung Fu Monkey - 20 Nov 09

Seriously, if I were 12, this would have melted my brain. I love this trailer.

JOURNAL: How to Break and Open Source Insurgency

John Robb - 20 Nov 09

Short Answer:  divide it.

It's long been my contention that Iraq was stabilized at an acceptable level of controlled chaos due to a happy accident by al Qaeda (in an attempt to expand/lead the loose insurgency in a new direction).  What did they do?   They blew up the Golden Mosque in Samara in 2006.  This act of symbolic terrorism did indeed disrupt social networks as anticipated, however the consequences were ultimately disastrous for the Iraqi open source insurgency.  

Baghdad_Ethnic_2007_late_smThe reason for this is it broke the dynamics of the open source insurgency in ways the US and Iraqi government's COIN efforts could not.  First, it created a permanent split between Sunni and Shiite insurgent groups/militias.  Coopetition ended.  Second, it motivated large Shiite militias to start an ethnic cleansing of Sunni areas.  This put acute pressure on Sunni guerrilla groups who were too small (by design to avoid US counter-pressure) to defend themselves against large militias operating in the open.  The result was an opening, very close to the one I described in my 2005 NYTimes OpEd, that allowed the US to convert Sunni guerrilla groups into militias that were not loyal to the central government (in direct contradiction to its COIN manual).   

It's a nice example of the dynamics of many to many conflict, social network disruption, and the development open source counterinsurgency.

See this excellent description at the blog, "Musings on Iraq" for more detail on the ethnic cleansing operations.  It also includes this money quote: "the majority of the Sunni insurgency gave up and switched sides to align with the Americans rather than face annihilation at the hands of the Shiite militias, Al Qaeda in Iraq, or the United States."

NOTE:  it's pretty clear from the above that social network disruption (either through attacks on symbolic targets or blood and guts terrorism) is like playing horseshoes with live hand grenades.  It's ultimately a losing strategy for advancing an open source insurgency.  Social network disruption is very likely to break standing order 6:  don't fork the insurgency.

Twitter Updates for 2009-11-20

Girl Farts - 20 Nov 09

LINKS: 20 NOV 09

John Robb - 20 Nov 09

Some random items of interest:

  • Vigilante militias in Rio are displacing the drug gangs -- favelas under the control of militias has grown from 108 in 2005 to 400 in 2008 (out of 965).  Why?  They have a better (albeit parasitic) conflict/business model than the drug gangs since they act as a substitute for missing public goods/services normally supplied by the government.  First, they provide a minimal level of security and conflict adjudication.  Second, they make more money than the drug gangs by "taxing" everything from propane to cable TV to the gray market.  
  • US gray economy estimated at $1 Trillion (not including criminal, outside of the evasion of taxes and regulation, activities) and growing faster than the "legal" economy.  
  • Proposal and wiki for an open source fabrication lab.
  • Somali pirates are expanding operations into the Indian ocean.  The combination of positive feedback loops (maritime insurance + rapid payoffs by crisis negotiators) and legal ambiguity (the biggest fear of a western navy and governments is that they might arrest a pirate -- prompting a massive/expensive legal tussle with few certain penalties and the forced extension of a visa to the former pirate once he is released from his short incarceration).  Is a franchise model for other locales possible?
  • Yes-we-can-secede
  • A business group in Ciudad Juarez asks for UN peacekeepers.  Hilarious. "Ciudad Juarez, population 1.5 million, has an average of seven homicides a day, with the total at 1,986 for this year through mid-October."
  • Seccession.net.  County based secession effort.  

Untitled Post

blissblog - 20 Nov 09

Yume no Byouin Project

Jean Snow - 20 Nov 09

Yume no Byouin Project

Beautiful (and simple) site design featuring the illustrative work of Yorifuji Bunpei. Via Paul Baron.

Kodai

Jean Snow - 20 Nov 09

Kodai

Coming up at the Kakitsubata gallery in Nakameguro is the show “Kodai,” running from November 25 until December 6.

Kodai

Kap Bambino

jwz - 20 Nov 09