Whoops

May 13th, 2009 | researchmaterial

Astronauts discover a long stretch of damage on the space shuttle Atlantis.

The shuttle appears to be in good overall shape, but the survey did uncover a 53cm (21in) line of chips on the vehicle’s right side. The line of chips uncovered by the inspection are in thick tiles that make up the protective heat shield on Atlantis’ starboard side. The damage is located where the right wing joins the shuttle’s fuselage. Nasa said the chips could be related to a debris event detected by the wing’s leading edge sensors 104-106 seconds into the lift-off.

This report leads to one of those surprising and uncomfortable truths about humanity’s current space travel skills:

If something goes wrong on this mission, Atlantis’ crew will not be able to shelter on the International Space Station (ISS). The station orbits at around 350km (220 miles) above Earth, while Hubble occupies an orbit about 560km (350 miles) up.

The Shuttle can’t fly there. It can’t shed 130 miles of altitude, establish a new orbit on a radically different inclination and maneuver to ISS. Because our things that fly in space still aren’t really spaceships as we’ve been brought up to think of them. In fact, the Endeavour’s on the launchpad now, ready to launch an unprecedented rescue mission if it’s determined that the Atlantis may not survive re-entry.

11 Responses to “Whoops”

  1. You know, I just read a story on CNN yesterday about how Endeavor was already waiting on the adjacent launch pad to the one Atlantis took off from, in case something like this happened.

  2. HA found it…
    http://www.cnn.com/2009/TECH/space/05/11/space.shuttle.rescue/index.html?iref=newssearch

  3. Heh . . . while in a bad mood last month, I wrote up an entry on “spaceships” for Sterling’s Imaginary Gadget list.

    Spaceships, as opposed to space craft.

    Changing inclination is incredibly spendy. I have a notebook somewhere with the formula for doing it, but the short answer is it takes near as much of a change in velocity to move from one inclination orbit to another as it takes to get into orbit.

  4. This makes me want to dig out my copy of Orbiter.

  5. Didn’t they bring any spare heat shield chips? Seems like they would only need a handful http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Ststpstile.jpg

  6. I’m really curious if this Endeavor backup plan is worth a damn. A few semesters back, I took a university course called “Politics and Technology” which focused almost exclusively on the various NASA disasters, and the politics behind them.

    More then once it was mentioned that There’s No Rescue Plan in case of a shuttle accident, that they take all the good parts off of whatever shuttle they’re not using, and paste them onto the current shuttle. And at this point, there’s not much in the way of good parts left.

  7. this is beyond depressing

  8. But what happens when, after Endeavor launches, damage is found on it’s wings/body as well? It seems to be an ongoing problem with each launch.

  9. @Blake – That’s how the USAF in Europe worked in the mid-to-late ’90s (probably still does). A plane would land, the mechanics would strip it for usable parts, slap ‘em onto another plane, and that plane would then take off…

  10. [...] Whoops — 7:22pm via Google [...]

  11. Look, the cold war ended and we have no one in competition with us and no more incentive to pour money in to NASA. In the 1960’s we put so much of our resources into NASA that in one decade we went from extremely basic satellites to a system that was able to put two men on the moon and then fly them off, alive.

    I agree that It would be wonderful to give NASA more than 15 billion a year and let them go and build actual space ships or mine asteroids or build a moon colony, or send a team to mars, and all the other lovely things that they would have done by now if Russia had not collapsed… but right now our biggest priority is giving the baby boomers their fucking social security so they can elect another George W. Bush.

    I am actually hoping that China’s space program manages to move beyond sending a guy up into orbit for a few hours and then sitting around and congratulating themselves on how awesome they are…we really need serious competition if were going to get anywhere.


Leave a Reply

Coilhouse is Hiring! Apply Here.

Coilhouse - 08 Feb 10

Back around the time of Issue 03, we launched the Small Business Advertising Program to create affordable ad space for indie companies in the print version of Coilhouse. By the time Issue 04 rolled around, the number of advertisers had grown significantly – by this time, we had record labels, jewelry and clothing designers, sculptors, other magazines, web hosts, toy makers and graphic designers advertising in our pages. Click here to see them all. With editorial duties taking up more and more of our time as the weeks go by, the moment has come for us to seek help with the advertising side of running the magazine. We’re looking to hire an Ad Manager for our Small Business Advertising Program, starting with Coilhouse Magazine #05… and possibly subsequent issues.

Full details after the jump!


Read the rest of Coilhouse is Hiring! Apply Here.


Post tags: Coilhouse

Untitled Post

blissblog - 08 Feb 10

Untitled Post

blissblog - 08 Feb 10

Untitled Post

blissblog - 08 Feb 10

State of South Carolina Secretary of State Subversive Agent Form

jwz - 08 Feb 10

Check the appropriate box. Do you or your organization directly or indirectly advocate, advise, teach or practice the duty or necessity of controlling, seizing or overthrowing the government of the United States, the state of South Carolina or any political division thereof?
[ ] YES [ ] NO

If yes, please outline the fundamental beliefs. If applicable, attach a copy of the bylaws or minutes of meetings from the last year.

"Inflection Points" Presentation

Open The Future - 08 Feb 10

For those folks who are interested, here's the Slideshare version of the presentation I gave last week at the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute annual meeting. I was asked to talk about foresight thinking, as the event theme was "The Big One of 2056: What Went Right?" a look at a fictional 7.8 quake in the SF region that was handled as well as they could imagine possible.

My goal was to offer a bit of reassurance to the audience that there is some real utility to thinking about the future, and to spell out (in a cursory way) the kinds of big picture issues they should keep in mind while looking ahead forty-six years.

By and large, it was a successful talk. The post-talk questions were engaged, with little push-back, and I'm told that the overall response from the audience was quite positive.

The talk was video recorded, and I'm told will eventually be available to the public. I'll link when that happens.

CAN GIFTING ECONOMIES SCALE?

John Robb - 08 Feb 10

A gifting economy is different from a barter or market economy in that valuable items are given away to those that need them, without any quid pro quo, exchange, or payment.  Gifting economics (lots of great papers on this topic) were/are the economic heartbeat of hunter-gatherer tribal cultures, the social organization where we spent 99% of our time as homo sapiens sapiens.  Barter was, in contrast, a mechanism for economic interactions between tribes.  

This gifting economic system wasn't based on pure altruism.  It did have an enforcement mechanism to ensure compliance with the system over the longer term.  On the positive side, there was an intangible increase in the social status (using personal or societal metrics) of a tribal member that gifted an item.  On the negative, a failure to offer hospitality or gifts to those in need was considered a mortal slight that could incite violence or expulsion from the tribe.

There were also a considerable number of drivers for gifting at the tribal level.  Here are some:

  • The survival of the tribe, as a group, was more important than the survival of any individual.  However, the loss of any individual could put the tribe at risk.
  • The generation of surplus and innovation was highly uncertain.  Sharing reduced that uncertainty to manageable levels.
  • Sharing reduced internal friction that could put the tribe at risk.

Scalability

It's pretty clear that the societal drivers of tribal gifting economics and the mechanisms of enforcement didn't survive the transition to a global social system composed of billions of members.   Simply, the connections between any two individuals (outside of immediate familial relationships) are too abstract for these drivers and enforcement mechanisms to be relevant.   As a result, market based mechanisms for economic interaction have gained dominance.

However, the ongoing shift of the global market-based economy from a trade in rival goods (tangible items that invoke zero sum economics) to digital non-rival goods (items that can be copied at no expense or diminishment, endlessly) provides a window of opportunity.  It may be possible to revive gifting economics for non-rival goods to amazing beneficial effect.   Some ideas on how this could scale:

  • Automated reputation metrics that enhance social status based on contributions.
  • Mechanisms built using MMO gaming as a way to tie successful gifting to status improvement (leveling) or an ability to attract investment.
  • The creation of an inside/outside barrier that separates a gifting economy from the global economic mainstream.   Automated mutual interdependence (see my friend Bruce Sterling's absolutely brilliant story on this:  "Maneki Neko").

Latest on SNOW

Jean Snow - 08 Feb 10

Latest on SNOW

So what’s the latest on SNOW? I guess two new developments art that I added a dedicated Twitter feed, and also created a Facebook fan page. The Twitter feed is mostly just automated with new articles from the site — because some people actually prefer that over RSS feeds these days — but I do keep an eye on it, and will reply to questions and comments. The Facebook page is just another way of putting the site out there, and should be a good way of informing members of SNOW-related events as they happen.

Regular content updates have also continued over the past week, with a few new guest columns and my regular news items. Here’s a list of what you may have missed over the past few days.

Untitled Post

blissblog - 08 Feb 10

I Know It?s Over?

Kieron Gillen - 08 Feb 10